Publications

Journal Articles

[A27] Mari L., Bertuzzo E., Casagrandi R., Gatto M., Levin S.A., Rodriguez-Iturbe I. and Rinaldo, A. (2011). Hydrologic controls and anthropogenic drivers of the zebra mussel invasion of the Mississippi-Missouri river system
Water Resources Research 47: W03523. [pdf | bib]

[A26] Bertuzzo E., Mari L., Righetto L., Gatto M., Casagrandi R., Blokesch M., Rodriguez-Iturbe I. and Rinaldo, A. (2011). Prediction of the spatial evolution and effects of control measures for the unfolding Haiti cholera outbreak
Geophysical Research Letters 38: L06403. [pdf | bib]

[A25] Righetto L., Bertuzzo, E., Casagrandi R., Gatto M., Rodriguez-Iturbe I. and Rinaldo A. (2011). Modelling human movement in cholera spreading along fluvial systems.
Ecohydrology 4: 49-55. [pdf | bib]

[A24] Bertuzzo E., Casagrandi R., Gatto M., Rodriguez-Iturbe I. and Rinaldo, A. (2010)
On spatially explicit models of cholera epidemics.
Journal of The Royal Society Interface 7: 321-333. [pdf | bib]

[A24] Bertuzzo E., Casagrandi R., Gatto M., Rodriguez-Iturbe I. and Rinaldo, A. (2010)
On spatially explicit models of cholera epidemics.
Journal of The Royal Society Interface 7: 321-333. [pdf | bib]

[A23] Mari L., Gatto M., and Casagrandi R. (2009)
Central-place seed foraging and vegetation patterns.
Theoretical Population Biology 76: 229-240. [pdf | bib]

[A22] Mari L., Casagrandi R., Pisani M. T., Pucci E. and Gatto M. (2009)
When will the zebra mussel reach Florence? A model for the spread of Dreissena polymorpha in the Arno water system (Italy). Ecohydrology, 2: 428-439. [pdf | bib]

[A21] Casagrandi R. and Guariso G. (2009)
Impact of ICT in Environmental Sciences: A citation analysis 1990-2007.
Environmental Modeling & Software, 24: 865-871. [pdf | bib]

[A20] Holyoak M., Casagrandi R., Nathan R., Revilla E., and Spiegel O. (2008)
Trends and Missing Parts in the Study of Movement Ecology.
PNAS, 105: 19060-19065. [pdf | bib]

[A19] Mari L., Casagrandi R., Gatto M., Agvar T. and Nathan R. (2008)
Movement strategies of seed predators as determinants of plant recruitment patterns.
American Naturalist, 172: 694-711. [pdf | bib]

[A18] Mari L., Gatto M. and Casagrandi R. (2008)
Local resource competition and the skewness of the sex ratio: a demographic model.
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 5: 813-830. [pdf | bib]

[A17] Piccardi C. and Casagrandi R. (2008)
Inefficient epidemic spreading in scale-free networks.
Physical Review E 77: 026113. [pdf | bib]

[A16] Casagrandi R., Mari L. and Gatto M. (2007)
Modeling the local dynamics of the zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha).
Freshwater Biology 52: 1223-1238. [pdf | bib]

[A15] Casagrandi R., Bolzoni L., Levin S. A. and Andreasen V. (2006)
The SIRC model and influenza A.
Mathematical Biosciences 200: 152-169. [pdf | bib]

[A14] Casagrandi R. and M. Gatto (2005)
The intermediate dispersal principle in spatially-explicit metapopulations.
Journal of Theoretical Biology 239: 22-32. [pdf | bib]

[A13] Casagrandi R. and S. Rinaldi (2005)
Sustainability and bifurcations of positive attractors.
Chaos and Complexity Letters 1: 117-128. [pdf | bib]

[A12] Nathan R. and Casagrandi R. (2004)
A simple mechanistic model of seed dispersal, predation and plant establishment: Janzen-Connell and beyond. Journal of Ecology 92: 733-746. [pdf | bib]

[A11] Lin J., Andreasen V., Casagrandi R. and Levin S. A. (2003)
Traveling wave solutions in a model of influenza A.
Journal of Theoretical Biology 222: 437-445. [pdf | bib]

[A10] Casagrandi R. and S. Rinaldi (2002b)
A theoretical approach to tourism sustainability.
Conservation Ecology 6(1): 13. [pdf | bib]

[A9] Casagrandi R. and Gatto M. (2002b)
Habitat destruction, environmental catastrophes and metapopulation extinction.
Theoretical Population Biology 61: 127-140.
[pdf | bib]

[A8] Casagrandi R. and M. Gatto (2002a)
A persistence criterion for metapopulations.
Theoretical Population Biology 6: 115-125. [pdf | bib]

[A7] Casagrandi R. and S. Rinaldi (2002a)
On the aperiodic locomotor behavior of Halobacterium salinarium under periodic light stimuli.
Journal of Theoretical Biology 214: 647-656. [pdf | bib]

[A6] Rinaldi S., M. Candaten, and R. Casagrandi (2001)
Evidence of peak-to-peak dynamics in ecology.
Ecology Letters 4: 610-617. [pdf | bib]

[A5] Norberg J., D. Swaney, J. Dushoff, J. Lin, R. Casagrandi and S. A. Levin (2001)
Phenotypic diversity and ecosystem functioning in changing environments: A theoretical framework. PNAS 98: 11376-11381. [pdf | bib]

[A4] Rinaldi S., R. Casagrandi, and A. Gragnani (2001)
Reduced order models for the prediction of extreme episodes.
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals 12: 313-320. [pdf | bib]

[A3] Rinaldi S., R. Cordone, and R. Casagrandi (2000)
Instabilities in creative professions: a minimal model.
Nonlinear Dynamics, Psychology, and Life Sciences 4: 255-273. [pdf | bib]

[A2] Casagrandi R. and M. Gatto (1999)
A mesoscale approach to extinction risk in fragmented habitats.
Nature 400: 560-562. [pdf | bib]

[A1] Casagrandi R. and S. Rinaldi (1999)
A minimal model for forest fire regimes.
The American Naturalist 153: 527-539. [pdf | bib]

Books

[B2] Casagrandi R. and P. Melià eds. (2004)
Ecologia Quantitativa: Metodi Sperimentali, Modelli Teorici, Applicazioni.
Atti del XIII Congresso Nazionale della Società Italiana di Ecologia (Como, 8-10 Settembre 2003), con CDROM. Aracne Editrice. ISBN: 88-7999-767-X, ISSN: 1127-5006.

[B1] Casagrandi R., G. A. De Leo, and M. Gatto (2002).
101 Problemi di Ecologia, con CDROM. McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 88 386 6041-7.

Book chapters

[K3] Piccardi C. and Casagrandi R. (2009) Chapter 5 Remarks on epidemic spreading in scale-free networks In Modelling, Estimation and Control of Networked Complex Systems. A. Chiuso et al. Eds. Springer-Verlag: Berlin. Pp. 77-89.

[K2] Gatto M. and Casagrandi R. (2007). Threatened Biodiversity: Understanding, Predicting, Taking Action. In Water & the Environment. I. Rofriguez-Iturbe and M. Sanchez Sorondo Eds. Pontificia Academia Scientiarium: Vatican City. Pp. 17-37.

International conferences

[I9] Piccardi C. and Casagrandi R. (2009) Influence of network heterogeneity on chaotic dynamics of infectious diseases. Proceedings of CHAOS09, Second IFAC Meeting related to analysis and control of chaotic systems, London, 22-24 June 2009.

[I7] Casagrandi, R. and M. Gatto (2004). Stochastic cellular automata with local demography and the intermediate dispersal principle. Conference on Computational and Mathematical Population Dynamics, Trento, Italy, June 21-25 (invited talk)

[I6]Casagrandi, R. (2004). Persistence-extinction boundaries in single species metapopulations with discrete individuals. Gordon Research Conference on Theoretical Biology and Biomathematics, Tilton, NH (USA), June 6-11 (invited talk)

[I5] Casagrandi, R. and M. Gatto (2002). Persistence-extinction boundaries for metapopulations in cellular automata. EMSTB, 5th International Conference on Mathematical Modeling and Computing in Biology and Medicine, University of Milan, July 2-6.

[I4] Nathan, R. and R. Casagrandi (1999). Modelling the effect of predators on dispersed seeds. EEB Annual Retreat at the Princeton University, November 13.

[I3] Casagrandi, R. and M. Gatto (1999). A mesoscale model to discuss the effect of habitat loss in metapopulations. Spatial Ecology Conference on Habitat Loss: Ecological, Evolutionary and Genetic Consequences, Helsinki, Finland, September 7-12.

[I2] Casagrandi, R. and M. Gatto (1998). Metapopulation models of intermediate complexity. VII International Congress of Ecology (INTECOL), Florence, Italy, July 19-25.

[I1] Casagrandi, R. and M. Gatto (1998). Demographic stochasticity in populations living in fragmented habitats. III International Congress on Mathematics and Environment, Naples, Italy, October 20-22. Proceedings, edited by Paolo Fergola, pp. 80-85.

National conferences

[N13] Casagrandi R, Mari L. and Gatto M. (2007) A demographic model for the local dynamics of Dreissena polymorpha. VI Congresso Nazionale della Società Italiana di Biometria (SIB), Pisa, 20-22 June 2007

[N12] Casagrandi R., Girola E., Fagnani S., Melià P., Cotrufo F., De Leo G. A., Viaroli, P. and M. Gatto (2006). Green conferencing for the Italian Society of Ecology XVI Congresso della Società Italiana di Ecologia (SItE); Viterbo-Civitavecchia, Italy, 19-22 September

[N11] Mari L., Gatto M. and Casagrandi R. (2006). Rapporto sessi bilanciato e competizione locale per le risorse XVI Congresso della Società Italiana di Ecologia (SItE); Viterbo-Civitavecchia, Italy, 19-22 September

[N10] Mari L., Avgar T. Casagrandi R., Nathan R. and Gatto M. (2006). A spatially-explicit approach to seed dispersal and predation XVI Congresso della Società Italiana di Ecologia (SItE); Viterbo-Civitavecchia, Italy, 19-22 September

[N9] Casagrandi, R., L. Mari, C. Baranzelli, A. Caimi and M. Gatto (2004). A model for the population dynamics and control of zebra mussels (Dreissena polymorpha, Pallas) XIV Congresso della Società Italiana di Ecologia (SItE); Siena, Italy, 4-6 October

[N8] Bolzoni, L., R. Defendi and R. Casagrandi (2003). The SIRC model for influenza A viruses. XIII Congresso della Società Italiana di Ecologia (SItE); Como, Italy, 8-10 September.

[N7] Casagrandi, R. and S. Rinaldi (2002). Sostenibilità economica ed ecologica del turismo. XII Congresso della Società Italiana di Ecologia (SItE); Urbino, Italy, 16-18 September.

[N6] Casagrandi, R. and M. Gatto (2002). Modelli spazialmente espliciti per lo studio di metapopolazioni XII Congresso della Società Italiana di Ecologia (SItE); Urbino, Italy, 16-18 September.

[N5] Casagrandi, R. and R. Nathan (2001). Can seed predation alone explain the variety of plant recruitment patterns? Metodi e Modelli Matematici nello Studio dei Fenomeni Biologici (CNR), Roma, Italy, 17-20 September.

[N4] Norberg, J., D. Swaney, J. Dushoff, J. Lin, R. Casagrandi and S. A. Levin. (2001). A new modelling approach to biodiversity and ecosystem functioning in changing environments. XI Congresso della Società Italiana di Ecologia (SItE); Sabaudia (LT), Italy, 12-14 September.

[N3] Casagrandi, R. and R. Nathan (2000). Ecological and evolutionary consequences of seed dispersal and predation. X Congresso della Società Italiana di Ecologia (SItE); Pisa, Italy, 14-16 September.

[N2] Casagrandi, R. and M. Gatto (1999). Metapopulation persistence: A mesoscale approach. IX Congresso della Società Italiana di Ecologia (SItE); Lecce, Italy, 13-17 September.

[N1] Casagrandi, R. and M. Gatto (1999). A mesoscale approach for assessing extinction risk in fragmented habitats. Congresso CNR Metodi e Modelli Matematici nello Studio dei Fenomeni Biologici, Trento, Italy, May 11-13.

Others

[O6] Ferrari, F., A. Pestalozza and R. Casagrandi (2003). Potare con cura. ACER 6(3): 41-47.

[O5] R. Casagrandi (2002). Un destino gettato al vento. Airone 257: 16.

[O4] PhD thesis (17 Dec 1999). Dinamica di metapopolazioni: Modelli alla mesoscala. Advisor: Prof. Marino Gatto.

[O3] Casagrandi, R. and S. Rinaldi (1998). A minimal model for forest fire regimes. Nota di Lavoro 25.98, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM). Reprinted by the SSRN abstracting journal Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics (WPS), Vol. 3, No. 7, July 28, 1999.

[O2] Casagrandi, R. and S. Rinaldi (1997). A theoretical approach to tourism sustainability. Nota di Lavoro 78.97, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM). Printed with the same title in a revised form by the International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria) in 2002 as the Interim Report IR-02-051.

[O1] Master thesis (26 Jul 1996). Gli incendi nelle foreste mediterranee: proposta e analisi di un modello. Advisor: Prof. Sergio Rinaldi.